Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Stocks & Bonds

Stock market rangebound.

KARACHI (June 25, 2009): Karachi Stock Exchange witnessed a rangebound session with the benchmark KSE-100 index oscillating between 7,023.48 points intra-day high and 6,988.71 points intra-day low on Wednesday due to uncertainty over the imposition of new tax and absence of any leverage product, analysts said. Finally, the index managed to close in positive zone at 7,025.89 level, with a meagre gain of 2.41 points.

LSE index marginally up by 3.80 points.

LAHORE (June 25, 2009): Depressed sentiment dominated on the Lahore Stock Exchange on Wednesday and the equities registered declines amid low trading activity on account of lack of buying interest while most investors stayed on the sidelines. The LSE-24 index was up marginally by 3.80 points, closing at 2082.94 against 2079.14 of Tuesday. The volume reduced to 6.582 million as compared to 8.219 million shares.


Bulls command proceedings on ISE.

ISLAMABAD (June 25, 2009): Bulls commanded the proceedings at the Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE) where bears remained in the front seat amid increase in the index. ISE Ten Index was down by 7.87 points, as it moved from 1,662.26 to 1,670.13 points. The volume of trade amounted to 731,564 shares, as compared to previous turnover of 756,205 shares.


BRIndex30 down 19.47 points.

KARACHI (June 25, 2009): On Wednesday, the BRIndex30 opened at 6,473.03, and closed at 6,444.37 with a net negative change of -19.47 points and percentage change of -0.30. It experienced intra-day high of 6,512.55 and low of 6,423.99. The volume amounted to 44,317,300 shares, which was 42.95 percent of total market and 86.20 percent of KSE-100 index.

Head of Research Ismail Iqbal Securities

Market looks range-bound in the short-term as investors' interest is not developing. However, outlook of the market is bullish in the long-term because 10-year PIB is 11.75 per cent currently and according to it market justified levels is 8,600 points. The market is coming down with low volumes, therefore, if it goes down further than market will be attractive. Investors should start gradual accumulation across the board especially in cement, fertiliser, major banks and side stocks of good manufacturing companies.

Research Analyst NAMCO

Market would show dull activities in the coming days moving in a range because of uncertainty regarding federal excise duty (FED). Therefore, until a positive outcome arrives on the issue, investors' confidence may not restore. But if any positive news comes regarding the FED then index can show a closing of 7,500 points by end June. Investors are advised to invest in high value dividend yield and blue chip stocks. Solution of tax related issues would support the market. Market would be dull today (Thursday).

Market remains dull as investors stay away

Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) saw a dull session on Wednesday as its main index ended flat, mainly because investors preferred to stay away from the market due to uncertainty regarding the results of general body meeting and delay in launch of new leverage product.
The benchmark KSE 100-index was up only by 2 points to close at 7,025 points.
"Mixed activity was witnessed at the market as investors were waiting the outcome of stock members meeting on FED collection on broker commissions," said a market expert while talking to The Financial Daily.
He added that support from state-run funds, strong investor interest in cement scrips, and merger news of Mybank/Askari Bank supported the oversold market throughout the trading session.
Trading stated with a minor gain of 1 point. Thereafter, the market witnessed range-bound activity throughout the day with low participation by investors.
Index moved in a narrow range, giving a number of visits to both red and green zones where during early moments of the session it touched an intraday high of 7,048 points (+ve 24 points) while 6,988 points (-ve 34 points) was its lowest level of the day which it touched around the mid-day.
Santosh Kumar, a research analyst at Darson Securities, said market participants are waiting patiently for an encouraging decision regarding the new tax mechanism on the local bourses and introduction of a new leverage product before taking any major positions in the market.
KSE 30-index lost 16 points to close at 7,450 points and KSE all share index increased by 2 points to close at 5,035 points.
Volumes saw a little improvement as 103 million shares traded during the day which is 17 million shares more as compared to a turnover of 86 million shares a day earlier. Out of total 297 active issues, 156 declined and 119 advanced while 22 issues remained unchanged.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Company News

PAKISTAN SERVICES LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements June 2002 - June 2008

OVERVIEW (June 22, 2009): Pakistan Services Limited, is an international public company, incorporated in 1958 in Karachi under the Companies Act, 1913 now Companies Ordinance, 1984 as a public limited company and is quoted on Karachi Stock Exchange. The company is principally engaged in hotel business and owns and operates the chain of 5 Pearl Continental Hotels in Pakistan at Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and Bhurban.




Cement: BESTWAY CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements Financial Year 2003-3Q'09
OVERVIEW (June 20, 2009): Bestway Cement Company Ltd (BWCL) is a subsidiary of Bestway Group of United Kingdom. It was listed on Karachi Stock Exchange in February 2001. The company is a major manufacturer and seller of cement. It has a domestic market share of 8%.



BALUCHISTAN WHEELS LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements Financial Year 2005 - 2003 Q 2009
OVERVIEW (June 19, 2009): Baluchistan Wheels Limited was incorporated in Pakistan on June 16, 1980. It is engaged in manufacturing and marketing of automotive wheel rims for trucks, buses, tractors, cars and mini commercial vehicles. It is a vendor participating in import substitution, supplying wheels to Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and is associated with world renowned OEMs.



Insurance: PAKISTAN REINSURANCE COMPANY LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements C Year 2003 - 2001 Q C Year 2009

OVERVIEW (June 18, 2009): Formerly called the "Pakistan Insurance Corporation", PRCL is the only professional reinsurance organization operating in Pakistan. The principal business of the company is provision of insurance and reinsurance services in all classes except life. The organization became a company in 2001.




Bank: ASKARI BANK LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements C Year 2004 - C Year 2008

OVERVIEW (June 17, 2009): Formerly known as "Askari Commercial Bank Limited", Askari Bank Limited was incorporated in Pakistan on October 09, 1991 and commenced its operations in April 1992 as a public limited company. The bank is registered on all the three stock exchanges of Pakistan. The bank has 200 branches (2007: 150 branches), 199 in Pakistan and Azad Jammu and Kashmir, including 18 Islamic banking branches.




EFU LIFE ASSURANCE LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements CY'04-1Q'09

OVERVIEW (June 16, 2009): EFU Life Assurance Limited (EFU Life) was incorporated as a public limited life insurance company on August 9, 1992 after the Government of Pakistan had opened up life insurance business to the private sector. The company started its operations from November 8, 1992. The company is engaged in life insurance business carrying on ordinary life business, pension fund business and accident and health business and has established following statutory funds, as required by the Insurance Ordinance, 2000.




Petroleum: SHELL PAKISTAN LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements June 2003 - June 2008

OVERVIEW (June 15, 2009): Shell Pakistan enjoys a 100-year history in this part of the world, dating back to 1899, when Asiatic Petroleum, the far-eastern marketing arm of two companies: Shell Transport Company and Royal Dutch Petroleum Company began to import kerosene oil from Azerbaijan into the subcontinent.




Bank: UNITED BANK LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements Financial Year 2003-Financial Year 2008
OVERVIEW (June 13, 2009): UBL was established on November 7, 1959. The bank has network of 1,112 domestic branches. UBL has five corporate centres, offering financing solutions to its corporate clients in all the main business centres of the country. The bank became the second largest network provider in Pakistan with 326 ATMs in 83 cities. For the convenience of its customers, UBL started the utility bills payment system facility through its vast ATM network. On the international front, the bank opened two new branches in Qatar and Yemen in 2007. With this the bank's total overseas network expanded to 17 branches.



Jute: THAL LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements Financial Year 2003 - Q 2003 2009

OVERVIEW (June 12, 2009): Thal Limited (formerly Thal Jute Mills Limited) enjoys the distinction of being the pioneer industrial project of the House of Habib. The company was incorporated on January 31, 1966 as a public limited company and is quoted on the Karachi and Lahore stock exchanges.




Leasing: ASKARI LEASING LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements Financial Year 2004 - H 2001 2009
OVERVIEW (June 11, 2009): Askari Leasing Limited (ALL) was incorporated in Pakistan as a public limited company on August 1, 1993 and was granted certificate of commencement of business on November 3, 1993 with a capital base of Rs 100 million. As of June 30, 2008, its total equity was over Rs 1.2 billion while its balance sheet was nearly Rs 12.4 billion.

Withholding tax on steel import doubled to 4pc

KARACHI - The government has increased the withholding tax on the import of steel from 2 per cent to 4 per cent. This will increase the cost of production for the importers up to Rs 1000 per metric ton, The Nation learnt from sources.
“This increased cost of production will be passed on to the consumers, as previously the cost of production was Rs 1000 per metric ton, which is now hiked up to Rs 2000 per metric ton,” said the source.
“When the withholding tax was 2pc, the importers of steel were supposed to file the return and keep the record. In this budget, the government increased the withholding tax and now it is 4pc. The importers of steel had decided to protest against this increment, but, a delegation of steel importers met the Finance Ministry officials the other day, and during that meeting it was decided that the importers will be exempted from keeping the record,” he added.
The source further said that after this consideration from the government officials, the steel importers decided not to protest against this hike. But it will increase the cost of purchase for the costumers of domestic and local buyers, he added.
On the other hand, Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM) will get benefit from this step as it would increase the sales of PSM.

Money & Banking

BMA signs trust deed for BECF.

KARACHI (June 22, 2009): BMA Funds signed the Trust Deed for their soon to be launched "BMA Empress Cash Fund" (BECF) at a ceremony held at BMA Funds headquarters in Karachi.

85 percent decline in CFS investment.

KARACHI (June 22, 2009): Investment under Continuous Funding System (CFS) at Karachi share market declined by 85 percent on Friday to a nominal level of Rs 10 million. The CFS rate also decreased by 20pps, falling to 30 percent on the end of the week from 50 percent recorded on the same day a week earlier.


THE RUPEE: all-round slide on money market.

KARACHI (June 21, 2009): All-round declines were seen on the currency market on Saturday as importers' rush for dollar buying increased to meet the payment requirements, dealers said. The importers were busy in dollar buying to clear the bills before the end of the out-going financial year, they said. On the interbank market the rupee lost 25 paisa against dollar in a single day fall for buying and selling at 81.35 and 81.40, they said.



EFU funds rates.

KARACHI (June 21, 2009): EFU Life Assurance Ltd announced that the Offer and Bid prices for the following funds effective from Monday June 22, 2009.


Revised Rates of Debt Securities.

KARACHI (June 21, 2009): The following were the revised rates of debt securities on Saturday (June 20, 2009).


SBP asks banks for new limits under EFS.

KARACHI (June 21, 2009): The State Bank of Pakistan, while asking the banks for new limits under Export Finance Scheme (EFS) for the next fiscal year, has extended the present limits of EFS for one month. Banks have been advised by the central bank to submit, by June 25, 2009, their requests for new limits for 2009-10.

Banks asked for 2009-10 limit requirements under LTFF.

KARACHI (June 21, 2009): The State Bank of Pakistan on Saturday announced to continue the existing limit of Long-Term Financing Facility (LTFF) Scheme. In a communication addressed to all banks, it said that LTFF limits, sanctioned in favour of banks for the year 2008-09, are due to expire on June 30, 2009.


THE RUPEE: dollar low marginally.

KARACHI (June 20, 2009): The rupee managed to recover slightly against the dollar on the interbank market on Friday as it gained three paisa in relation to dollar for buying and selling at 81.10 and 81.15, dealers said. According to some marketmen there is higher demand for dollars by the importers, but supply factor did not allow the rupee to bow down in terms of the greenback.

Business & Economy

'Punjab budget to improve socio-economic condition of people'.

LAHORE (June 22, 2009): Punjab government has won the hearts of people by presenting a balanced, people-friendly and tax-free budget in difficult times. Chairman Standing Committee for Finance Punjab, Sardar Khalid Saleem Bhatti said while talking to a delegation of MPAs at his residence here on Sunday.

Federal, provincial budgets anti-poor: PEW.

ISLAMABAD (June 22, 2009): The Pakistan Economy Watch (PEW) has said that the recently presented federal and provincial budgets have proved that our leaders are least concerned about welfare of masses or stability of the economy. Rich have again escaped taxation while poor were cornered.

Demand to set up cities for sports goods, surgical instruments.

SIALKOT (June 22, 2009): Local exporters had appealed the Federal and provincial governments to set up "Sports goods and Surgical instruments cities" to facilitate the SMEs of this export-oriented city and hub of cottage industry as well as to recognise the services and importance of Sialkot, which was earning valuable foreign exchange.

KPT outlines plan for cargo village and industrial park.

KARACHI (June 22, 2009): The Karachi Port Trust plans to develop the western backwaters of the Karachi Port as a "Cargo Village and Industrial Park." This decision has been based on a feasibility study including master plan prepared for the proposed project in 2004.

Withdrawal of sales tax on diesel engines, spare parts welcomed.

Lahore (June 22, 2009): The former central chairman of Pakistan Hardware Merchants Association (PHMA) Haji Muhammad Asif has welcomed withdrawal of sales tax on diesel engines and spare parts as it would benefit the textile and sugar industries.


Rs 24 billion paper guarantees to be floated to bail out oil and power sectors.

ISLAMABAD (June 21, 2009): The government has decided to bailout budgetary imbalances of the oil and power sector due to circular debt by floating Rs 24 billion paper guarantees by the Finance Ministry next week, it is reliably learnt on Saturday. The Finance Ministry has calculated that the total accumulated impact of this paper injection would be Rs 79 billion in terms of circular debt reduction.








KSE crawls through a lustre-less week

Experts think market would remain dull until liquidity, leverage product are made available
KARACHI: Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) went through a lacklustre week as
Its benchmark KSE 100-index closed the week at a level of 7,039 points - a minor decrease of 16 points.
News regarding taxation on exports, no major incentive for the stock market in the budget, fears about capital value tax (CVT) imposition and profit-taking caused the market shed some points but hopes of leverage products, expectations of cut in T-bill yield and interest rates helped the market recover losses.
"Unfavourable budget for the stock market and budget related uncertainties kept the market under pressure while fears that CVT would be reimposed with double rate further weakened the sentiments," a market expert told The Financial Daily when asked about the market performance throughout the week that ended on Friday.
He added that market remained lacklustre as institutions didn't take part in market activities ahead of financial year closing in June coupled with foreign selling in specific stocks. Hopes of reduction in interest rates and early launch of leverage product did give some support to the market, he added.
Market started the week in a depressing way, as the index lost 103 points on Monday on selling pressure mainly due to no major announcement for the stock market in the budget and taxation on exports. Negativity continued the next day too as despite foreign buying in the market, index fell by 80 points mainly due taxation on exports while volumes reduced to a 3-month low during the day.
Bulls took an impressive comeback on Wednesday as the key index grew by near 3 per cent (202 points) mainly on expectation of decline in T-bill yield, hopes of removal of tax on exports and likely reduction in discount rates in July.
Profit-taking was witnessed during the last two days of the week as index lost 24 and 12 points respectively on Thursday and Friday.
Index touched the highest level of 7,142 points and lowest level of 6,847 points during the week.
KSE 30-index dropped 70 points to close at 7,448 points and KSE all share index lost 13 points to close at 5,047 points.
Out of total 357 active issues, 202 declined and 135 advanced while 20 issues remained unchanged.
Investors' participation remained dull almost throughout the week as 508 million shares exchanged hands during the period which are 125 million shares low as compared to a turnover of 633 million shares a week earlier.
Experts think that market would remain dull until liquidity is made available and leverage product is launched. They say introduction of new leverage product and decline in the key discount rates would be the trigger for market in the coming days.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Budget 2009-10

Mega numbers, fancy accounting and tall claims — But really, I have personally come to a stage where I no longer take the budget speech very seriously, because if one analyzes the track record of the last six to eight years one realizes that during the course of any given year the actual spreads never even remotely match the laid out proposals! Quite honestly, one cannot entirely blame the government either, as due to mainly three things it is becoming increasingly difficult for any country to forecast figures and policies of one year in advance and then go on to follow them to the hilt.
These three factors are:
(1) Events (political and economic) these days often unfold quicker than any type of planning cum forecasting.
(2) In the supersonic age of globalization where communication and information flow is lightening fast, one year is being perceived as being too long a period in the context of day-to-day decision-making requirements.
(3) In case of economies such as Pakistan, which balance their budgets by way of deficit financing, there is always the risk of donor or institutional promises that either do not mature at all or simply get deferred and delayed.
So how should then one react to the once-a-year pompous budget speeches? Again, in my opinion, the real benefit of such an exercise to the general public lies in exposing the true mindset of the economic managers and that, behind the cobweb of complex figures, in which direction they want to take the nation’s economy. If the overall direction is right and the mindset is healthy (people-friendly) then great, and if otherwise, then the challenge is to somehow convince them to change course in order to avoid further economic suffering.
Presently the Pakistani military is taking on the miscreants directly, but the real reckoning will come when the fight is over, in ensuring that insurgency and terrorism do not spread again. In that, the state of economy will be crucial, because if we are unable to win the hearts and minds of our people by providing them timely jobs and economic relief, the ground gained by the good work of the armed forces will be lost in days. And it is in this light that we should be assessing this recently announced budget. Meaning, does the direction the economic leaders have adopted take us towards creating opportunities, providing jobs, encouraging domestic and foreign investment, and eradicating poverty? Measuring on such a yardstick, regrettably, the announcements fall significantly short of creating any kind of positive feelings or generating a likely stimulus in the economy.

SBP calls for supervision framework for conglomerates

KARACHI - Governor, State Bank of Pakistan Syed Salim Raza has underlined the need for developing a consolidated supervision framework in view of the emergence of the conglomerate structure in Pakistan’s banking industry.
“There is a need for highly trained accountants and financial analysts who can help manage the risks associated with the complex financial structures of the conglomerates,’ he noted while speaking at the Excellence Awards Ceremony of CFA Association of Pakistan at a local hotel. Referring to the importance of professional experts in Pakistan’s financial industry, he observed that pursuing internationally recognized area-specific programs like the CFA, FRM, ACCA, and CMA are excellent tools to bring individuals at par with global standards.
Salim Raza said that the government and the SBP were committed to maintaining macroeconomic stability and long term economic growth in the country and the primary goal of monetary policy stance is to control inflation. Raza observed that the downward trend in domestic inflation owes to favourable international and domestic developments as well as a deceleration in domestic demand. ‘The latter, in particular, reflects the monetary tightening by the central bank as well as the complementary improvement in fiscal discipline’, he added.
Stressing the need for the development of an efficient bond and money market, the SBP Governor said the development of an organized bond market for both Corporate and Government securities is the need of hour that will help boost intra-regional trading liquidity and investment needs.
SBP Governor said that complementing the progress of the bond and money markets will be further strengthened by bringing efficiency in secondary trading platforms, liquidity, dissemination of price and volume trends and wider access to the market. He said the work is underway on these initiatives at the State Bank to create a vibrant and liquid Bond Market thus reducing the financial intermediation cost in the system. He observed that Pakistan’s financial markets have remained by and large insulated from the recent global financial market turmoil as ‘our markets did not have exposure to mortgage or other asset backed securities.’ However, he asked all stake holders to further consolidate their efforts for the deepening of financial sector including financial instruments innovation.

Govt withdraws irritant, harsh clauses of budget

LAHORE - Following coun-trywide pressure by the business community, the Ministry of Finance on Friday decided to withdraw all the irritant and harsh clauses proposed in the final draft of the Finance Bill for the federal budget 2009-10.
Sources revealed that Advisor to Prime Minister on Finance Shaukat Tarin agreed to withdraw all the irritant and harsh clauses for the businessmen during a detailed meeting with a 26-member delegation of the Federation of Pakistan Chamber of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) held in the Finance Ministry on Friday.
The Advisor agreed to withdraw the additional withholding tax on imports and said, “now the businessmen would pay as per the previous rate of two per cent at import stage.” Tarin has also agreed to reverse the decision to establish Directorate of Income Tax Intelligence and assured the businessmen that the Finance Bill would be amended, sources maintained.
Advisor to PM on Finance Shaukat Tarin chaired the meeting while Chairman FBR Sohail Ahmed, Federal Secretary Finance Salman Siddique, and Chairman Panel of Economists Dr Hafeez Pasha were also present on this occasion.
The 26-member delegation of the Federation of Pakistan Chamber of Commerce and Industry led by its President Sultan Ali Chawla, and former President Iftikhar Ali Malik, and Mian M Idrees attended the meeting to resolve the issue of irritant clauses with the top brass of the Finance Ministry.
According to the sources, Shaukat Tarin informed the delegation that the Ministry is withdrawing all irritant clauses including the proposal of provision of NTN or CNIC of a buyer on Sales Tax Invoice and withholding tax made in the Finance Bill.
“The issue of irritant clauses for the businessmen has been resolved amicably in the meeting. The Advisor to PM on Finance has fulfilled his commitment with the business community and we are very thankful to him,” Vice President SAARC Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Iftikhar Ali Malik informed this scribe, when contacted.
The Advisor assured the delegation that the Ministry has finally decided to withdraw the clauses creating troubles for them and it would be tabled in House very soon for approval in this regard. The Advisor also informed that the mandatory condition of mentioning the NIC number of Sales Tax Invoice has also been reversed. He further said that the labour laws would be amended and all the irritants of the business community would be removed.

Desperate search of ‘leverage’ for stock market

KARACHI: The stock brokers are caught between the rock and a hard place! The loss of ready board leverage is shrinking volumes and since the brokers’ livelihood depends to a great extent on the speculators and day traders, the slowdown in income stream is cause for concern.

But the trouble is that 104 brokers had stood up in revolt against the age-old prevalent ‘badla’, CFS or more attractively named CFS Mk-II.

They could not possibly step back and admit that it was a mistake to discard the bad ‘badla’, before introducing an investor-friendly and acceptable alternative.

Ingeniously, the community put their heads together and found the space to wriggle out of the situation.

In all, 21 concerns or defects in the ousted badla have been discovered and with some of the stalwarts among brokers taking the lead, heated debates have produced a refined product that is believed to be shorn of the ingredients of the ‘badla’ that had spoiled the whole product. But no one is calling the proposed new product the ‘badla’ or CFS. Instead the going word is ‘Margin Financing’.

While stock brokers have sought comments and suggestions from the fraternity in regard to the proposed new product, a consultative committee formed by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP), under the chairmanship of Aftab Ahmed Diwan, the COO of Central Depository Company of Pakistan (CDC), has also feverishly worked to develop and distribute the contours of its version of a new product of ‘Margin Financing’ (MF).

A senior stock broker conceded that the dip in daily traded volume to 104 million shares (as an example) on Friday was depressing in relation to the 250 million shares traded on a good day in early 2008. But he pointed out that the loser was not just the broker. The slump in volume and trading interest that has dried up liquidity can not have done the capital market any good.

‘It defeats the principal objective of the market, which is formation of capital,’ he said. It was scarcely surprising that though the SECP has been proudly revealing the growing number of companies that register themselves each month, the aggregate number now climbing to 50,000, but no more than one per cent of them have sought listing at the stock market.

‘If the capital market is able to attract no new companies to raise cheaper capital, how will that help to achieve the cherished goal of industrialisation,’ says an analyst.

Another member disputed the notion that it was just the stock brokers who were poorer by the loss of commission due to low volumes.

‘At least four other institutions are taking the heat,’ says he and identified them as government which received just Rs 1 billion in Capital Value Tax (CVT) in financial year 2008-09, compared to Rs4 billion the earlier year. The lack of interest in the equity market also frustrates government’s plan of privatisation.

Others that see their income trimmed include the CDC; the National Clearing Company of Pakistan and the KSE itself. Thus, the desperate search for a new ready board leverage product. Some are questioning the brokers’ fixed gaze on CFS.

‘Why not take a look at the ‘deliverable futures’, which also was thrown out with the badla?’ asks one.

On Friday, the SECP told stakeholders to submit comments by June 25, on the first report on ‘Margin Financing’ released by the SECP’s consultative group on capital markets.

The group had earlier this month submitted its first report.

SECP said it was making effort to develop consensus of the relevant stakeholders on recommendations of the group, which was why it had forwarded the said report for the feedback of various institutions, including State Bank of Pakistan, Mutual Funds Association of Pakistan, Pakistan Banks Association, Investment Banks Association of Pakistan Leasing Association of Pakistan, Modaraba Association of Pakistan, the three stock exchanges, National Clearing Company of Pakistan Limited and the Central Depository Company.

While issuing those directives, the SECP reiterated: ‘The said report contains purely the recommendations of the group and does not reflect the views / proposals of the SECP.’

And the apex regulator said that it would ‘review the recommendations of the group in light of the feedback received from of the stakeholders.’

A stock broker said on Friday that the overwhelming concern of the investors at the stock market was not in regard to the product that might finally find its way into the market (the one proposed by the group of brokers or that of the consultative committee or both). But the big worry was, whether a consensus could be achieved of all stakeholders and more importantly by when?

Some demands of business and industry accepted

ISLAMABAD: The finance ministry on Friday agreed to make 125 amendments to the finance bill, including a reduction in withholding tax on industrial importers to help revive the ailing industrial sector.

‘The amendments will be tabled next week,’ a finance ministry official said.

The government also constituted a committee to find anomalies in the budget and to remove them in two months to help revive industrial growth.

The decisions were taken during a meeting of representatives of the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) with Finance Adviser Shaukat Tarin.

According to the official, industrial importers will now have to pay two per cent withholding tax instead of four cent. Although investors would pay the tax at an adjustable rate, commercial importers would pay four per cent.

Final tax on export proceeds would be paid at the rate of one per cent.

Earlier, the government had withdrawn the presumptive taxation on exporters, a move which was strongly opposed.

The ‘anomaly committee’ would be headed by Mr Tarin and its members will be the governor of the State Bank, chairman of the Federal Board of Revenue, federal secretaries of economic ministries and an FPCCI representative.

The finance ministry official said the business community was informed that the interest rate would be cut by one per cent and additional measures would be taken for lowering inflation.

The meeting agreed to do away with the judicial powers proposed to be given to FBR authorities, Section 40B would be used in a useful manner and not be used in any way that might put the business community in any difficulty.

It was also agreed that proposed amendment to Section 38 would be subjected to some conditions as tax authorities would not be allowed to enter business premises or carry out a search and prior approval would be required from FBR chairman. Private auditors would be required to place records and computers impounded from taxpayers’ offices in FBR offices and not anywhere else.

Participants of the meeting decided that there would be no requirement to mention the NTN or Computerised National Identity Card on sale invoices. The meeting was informed that audit under the Universal Self-Assessment Scheme would cover accounts of only past year. Previously taxpayers were required to furnish records spanning over four to five years.

The government also agreed not to set up an income tax intelligence directorate. The government said it would provide business community with an environment conducive to enhancing exports and allow imports without harassment.

A statement issued by the FPCCI said that the federal government had agreed to rectify what it called massive anomalies in the budget.

Mr Tarin, it said, had assured leaders of the business community to amend labour laws and remove irritants.

Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry president Anjum Nisar said that the finance ministry had accepted 90 per cent of the demands of his chamber.

Stocks & Bonds

Dull session on KSE.

KARACHI (June 20, 2009): Karachi share market on Friday witnessed another dull session amid thin volumes and the benchmark KSE-100 index, after moving both sides, finally closed in the negative at 7,039.73, with a net loss of 12.04 points. The market opened on a positive note and the index hit 7,076.79 points intra-day high level, up by 25.02 points.

Equities move both ways on LSE.

LAHORE (June 20, 2009): Equities moved both the ways on the Lahore Stock Exchange (LSE) on Friday and finally stayed in red zone amid descending transaction volume on account of lacking interest on the part of investors who remained on the sideline. The LSE-25 index marginally increased by 10.77 points and ended at 2073.16 against the Thursday's closing at 2062.39 while trading turnover restricted to 9.098 million shares as compared to 15.737 million shares traded a day earlier.

Mixed trend observed on ISE.

ISLAMABAD (June 20, 2009): Mixed trend was observed at the Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE) where equities showed healthy signs under the lead of hot favourite amid increase in index. ISE Ten Index was plus by 4.74 points, as the Index moved from 1,654.02 to 1,658.76 points. The volume of trade amounted to 1,093,100 shares as compared to previous turnover of 1,544,190 shares.

Apex index stays stuck on panic, profit-taking

Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) ended in the red zone on Friday - last trading day of the week - as the benchmark KSE 100-index shed 12 points to close at 7,039 points due to day-end profit-taking, and fears regarding capital value tax (CVT) imposition.
"Premonitions gripped the market and it closed in the red zone on profit-booking," market expert told The Financial Daily.
He said negative activities in the first session were due to the apprehensions that CVT would be imposed again also there was no support in the market.
However, the second session witnessed some positive activities due to the hopes that a new leverage product would be launched soon but the day-end profit-taking let the index close negative.
Earlier, the market started with a gain of 8 points but could not sustain its position and soon plunged into the red zone and remained there throughout the first session. During this session, the index breached 7,000 level and touched an intraday low of 6,980 points (-ve 71 points).
In second session, the index gave visits to both negative and positive zones - moving in a narrow range. At about 3:13pm, index managed to touch an intraday high of 7,076 points (+ve 25 points) but selling pressure at the end didn't allow the green numbers to stay and market closed in the negative zone.
Despite negative end, foreign investors were the net buyers.
Data released by National Clearing Company of Pakistan Limited (NCCPL) showed there was net foreign buying of $2.6 million during the day.
KSE 30-Index dropped 44 points to close at 7,448 points and KSE all share index lost 8 points to close at 5,047 points.
Out of total 256 active issues, 131 declined and 98 advanced while 27 issues remained unchanged. Investor participation remained low throughout the day as volumes reduced to around 97 million shares which are 48 million shares less as compared to a turnover of 145 million shares a day earlier.

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Austria to invest in water and power sector

Austrian Ambassador, Dr Michael Stigelbauer on Thursday called on the Minister for Water and Power, Raja Pervez Ashraf and discussed various matters of mutual interest and possibilities of investment and technical co-operation in water and power sector.

Zardari invites Belgian businessmen

President Asif Ali Zardari on Wednesday invited Belgian businessmen to come to Pakistan and explore a market that boasts of over 170 million people. Addressing leading Belgian businessmen at a dinner meeting, the President said just like Belgium, which is gateway to Europe, Pakistan was a gateway to the Central Asian states. "Lets take advantage of each other's markets," he added.

Index loses 24.16 points

Profit taking in late hours eroded the intra-day gains and the benchmark KSE-100 index finally closed at 7,051.77 points level with a net loss of 24.16 points on Thursday. The market opened on a positive note and the index hit 7,142.97 points at intra-day high level, up by 67.04 points, however, the index could not sustain that level due to profit taking.

Mixed trend prevails on LSE

Mixed trend prevailed on the Lahore Stock Exchange (LSE) on Thursday and the equities after moving up and downward, finally settled in red zone on account of selling pressure that resulted considerable increase in trading turnover. The LSE-25 index marginally declined by 5.21 percent and closed at 2062.44 against 2067.55 of Wednesday while transaction volume increased to 15.737 million shares as compared to day earlier volume of 9.293 million shares.

Gainers outnumber losers on ISE

Gainers outclassed losers at the Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE) where equities showed healthy signs under the lead of hot favourite amid increase in index. ISE Ten Index showed an increase of 12.40 points, as the Index moved from 1,641.62 to 1,654.02 points. The overall turnover amounted to 1,544,190 shares as compared to previous volume of 764,976 shares.

KSE makes no impression

Shares on Thursday ended flat as the benchmark KSE 100-index fell by just 24 points to close at 7,051 points due to profit booking by investors after a rangebound day.
"The market fell because of the proposal of National Assembly Standing Committee on Finance to impose Capital Value Tax (CVT) on stock market transactions," a leading analyst told The Financial Daily.
He, however, said commitment of aid by European Commission would bring some positive news in the coming days. The European Commission - the EU's executive arm - on Wednesday said it would give an additional 72 million euros in emergency humanitarian assistance to Pakistan for relief of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) of Swat and adjoining areas.
"Online server was not operating at the market owing to prolong power failure in the city that also affected activities at the market," another analyst told TFD by phone.
However, above expectation cut in T-bill rates and commitment by the Finance Advisor of at least 100bps decline in upcoming monetary policy and further incentives for industries in the trade policy kept the optimism alive during the session.
The day-end offloading by traders pushed the bench mark to red zone, despite strong resistance, offered by placing big quantity bids in the stocks having heavy weight in the benchmark, said the analyst.
Trading started with a gain of 18 points, thereafter market witnessed some range-bound activities throughout the day but most of the time it stayed in the positive zone where at about 12pm index touched an intraday high of 7,142 points (+ve 67 points). Index gave certain visits to both the territories but finally day-end selling let the index close in the negative zone where during the last minute of the session index touched its lowest level of the day of 7,026 points (-ve 49 points).
Data released by National Clearing Company of Pakistan (NCCPL) showed that foreigners too were the net sellers as there was net foreign selling of $1.15 million during the day.
KSE 30-index dropped 46 points to close at 7,492 points and KSE all share index lost 17 points to close at 5,055 points.
Volumes saw a significant improvement as 145 million shares traded during the day which is 50 million shares more as compared to a turnover of around 95 million shares a day earlier.
Out of total 291 active issues, 174 declined and 100 advanced while 17 issues remained unchanged.

Thursday, June 11, 2009

Shares gain little ahead of budget

Shares at Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) ended with limited gains on Thursday as investors' participation remained low ahead of the budget for the fiscal year 2009-10.
The benchmark KSE 100-Index gained 44 points to close at 7,091 points.
"Rise in foreign remittances and declining trend of inflation supported the economic end for the local investors," Hasnain Asghar Ali of Aziz Fidahusein & Co told The Financial Daily.
The market started with a little gain of 16 points and reduced activity of the investors. Positive activities were witnessed almost throughout the day with limited gains. At about 12:41pm, the index touched an intra-day high of 7,125 points (+ve 78 points). Buying was mainly in the banking sector.
However, there was some profit booking at higher levels sending the index into negative zone for a few minutes where it touched its lowest level of the day - 7,035 points (-ve 11 points) - but support at lower levels called back the green numbers and then market remained in the positive territory till the closing bells to end with little gains.
Despite positive closing, foreigners were the net sellers.
According to National Clearing Company of Pakistan Limited (NCCPL), net foreign selling of $1.65 million was witnessed during the day.
Meanwhile, KSE 30-Index jumped by 75 points to close at 7,564 points and KSE all-share index increased by 29 points to close at 5,084 points.
Talking to TFD, Mohammad Sohail of Topline Securities said it was another dull day ahead of the federal budget. However, he expressed his optimism that market is likely to post a small rally after the budget in case there are no direct taxes on share trading.
Volumes further reduced as 114 million shares traded during the day which is 27 million shares less as compared to a turnover of around 141 million shares a day earlier.
Out of total 311 active issues, 151 advanced and 142 declined while 18 issues remained unchanged.

Monday, June 8, 2009

Stocks & Bonds

Bearish sentiment persists on KSE.

KARACHI (June 08, 2009): Bearish sentiment prevailed at Karachi share market during the week ended on June 6, 2009 due to investors' concerns over the coming budget and absence of any leverage product. The KSE-100 index declined by 381.99 points, or 5 percent, and closed at 6,894.62 points.

New listing companies: SECP seeks reduced corporate tax rate.

ISLAMABAD (June 08, 2009): The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) has asked the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) to apply reduced corporate tax rate on new listing of companies on stock exchanges in the 2009-10 budget. It is learnt that the SECP has proposed tax slabs for new listing of companies through amendment in the Schedule-I, Part I, Division II of Income Tax Ordinance, 2001.

25 percent decline in CFS investment.

KARACHI (June 08, 2009): Investment from CFS at Karachi share market declined by Rs 26 million, or 25 percent, to Rs 78 million on Friday. "With phase-out of the CFS Mk-II since April 8, 2009, the investment level has been falling by every day as investments made earlier are being released", Muniba Saeed, an analyst at Invest Capital and Securities said.

KSE in bear country - Weekly Report

KARACHI: Fears of taxation on the capital market called the bears back to the exchange as due to the selling by both foreign and local investors key index of the exchange shed more than 5 per cent during the week ending below 7,000 levels.
The benchmark KSE 100-Index dropped 382 points - 5.25 per cent -- to end at a level of 6,894 points.
"Issues regarding the budget was the main factor for the negative activities; difficulties faced by members for funding and no decisive victory achieved by the government in Swat also were the reasons for the bearish spell," said Tanvir Abid, SVP Elixir Securities.
Tanvir added that lackluster activities would continue in the market and the Index could go down to 6,700 levels, however bulls might come back if the budget is investor friendly.
Bears were there since the start of the week as on Monday Index ended 66 points down mainly due to the taxation fears however there were some positive activities during intra-day trading due to foreign buying, hopes that military action would end soon and inclusion in MSCI index therefore at a moment Index touched its highest level of the week of 7,328 points.
Tax worries didn't stop to hurt the market and the Index dropped another 85, 135 and 111 points respectively during the next three days. Adding to the pressure was the absence of leverage tools, foreign selling, downward revision of the growth numbers etc.
However week ended with some improved performance as on Friday despite heavy selling by foreign investors market closed with little gains mainly on buying by local investors in an oversold market. There were also some negative activities in the market during intra-day trading where at a moment Index touched its lowest level of the week of 6,850 points. Foreigners too preferred to take an exit from the market as there was a net foreign selling of $11.9 million during the week.
KSE 30-Index fell by 548 points - 6.98 per cent -- to close at 7,314 points and KSE all-share index lost 263 points - 5.05 per cent -- to close at 4,953 points.
Investors' participation remained low throughout the week as around 555 million shares traded in the market which is 201 million shares less as compared to a turnover of 756 million shares a week earlier.
Out of total 368 active issues, 282 declined and 75 advanced while 11 issues remained unchanged.

Thursday, June 4, 2009

KSE sees 4th consecutive day of losses

KARACHI (APP) - The unending selling pressure further eroded values of leading scrips at Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) Thursday as 100-Index lost 111.80 points to close at 6,878.14, dealers said.
The turnover volume was low at 93.595 million shares as prices of only 79 scrips recorded gains while 210 sustained losses and 14 remained unchanged.
A dealer at a leading brokerage house said that market opened on a positive note and 100-Index climbed to above 7000 level on fresh buying. However, bears entered the market and pulled down prices by heaving selling and Index went below 6900 level. The market capitalisation eroded by about Rs 32 billion to Rs 2.040 trillion.
Jahangir Siddiqui Co was the volume leader with a turnover of 12.081 million shares followed by Pak PTA 5.877 million shares, NBP 4.795 million shares, Dewan Cement 4.615 million shares and D G Khan Cement 4.505 million shares.
MCB Bank closed at 142.42, Adamjee Insurance 82.73, Saudi Pak Bank 6.88, Pak PTA 3.10, Jahangir Siddiqui Co 24, D G Khan Cement 23, OGDC 74.31 and NBP 62.76.
Siemens Pak recorded the highest gain of Rs 14 to close at 984 followed by Dreamworld which moved up by Rs 11 to 245 while Nestle Pak dipped by Rs 48.58 to 923.17 and Treet Corp went down by Rs 12.25 to 232.75.
Meanwhile, Lahore stock market on Thursday witnessed bearish trend as LSE-25 Index lost 35.73 points to close at 2023.36 points as against 2059.09 points on Wednesday. Total turnover also decreased to 9.076 million on the day against 12.397 million shares on Wednesday.

200,000 tons wheat products to be exported

ISLAMABAD- Pakistan will export 200,000 tonnes of wheat products on expectations of a bumper wheat crop this year, a top Food Ministry official said on Thursday.
Asia’s third-largest wheat producer expects output of 24m tonnes this year, or 2m in excess of domestic requirements. Pakistan imposed a ban on wheat exports in 2007 because of shortages and higher prices at home but the curbs are being eased because of prospects of a good crop.
“The cabinet has given the go-ahead to export 200,000 tonnes of wheat products,” ministry secretary Mohammad Zia-ur-Rehman told Reuters.
“If there’s more demand, they’ll be given permission for more exports,” he said. The 200,000 was in addition to 600,000 tonnes of flour being exported to neighbouring Afghanistan, he said.
Pakistan sees the Middle East and Gulf as good markets for its wheat products. Rehman said the permission to export wheat products would help domestic flour mills get rid of surpluses.
“This needs to be liquidated otherwise it will become a headache,” he said. “Look at storage capacity. Eighty percent of wheat is lying out in the open and if heavy rain comes tomorrow, there will be massive damage,” he said.
Wheat stocks were at one million tonnes, which Rehman said was the highest stock level in Pakistan’s history. The harvest was due to be completed by June 30. Qadir Bukhsh Baluch, wheat commissioner at the Food Ministry, said there might be more wheat product exports when the final figure for the harvest came in.
But the ministry was not seeking the lifting of the ban on wheat exports, he said.

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Stocks & Bonds-JUNE 03, 2009

Index declines.

KARACHI (June 03, 2009): Bearish trend prevailed at Karachi share market and the benchmark KSE-100 index declined by 85.23 points to close at 7,125.11 points level on Tuesday. "Despite confirmation by FBR and finance authorities that no new taxes will be imposed on the share business in the new budget and positive developments on Swat operation, the local equity market continued to give a deserted look and the bourses continued to stay indifferent to the positive developments", analysts said.

LSE index down 29.82 points.

LAHORE (June 03, 2009): Equities under the lead of banking sector extended further losses on the Lahore Stock Exchange (LSE) on Tuesday on account a news regarding 23 percent decline in the banks' profit during first quarter. The LSE-25 index continued to decline for the second day and slide down by 29.82 to close at 2115.50 against 2145.32 of Monday.

ISE index down 20.53 points.

ISLAMABAD (June 03, 2009): Bears strengthened their positions at Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE) where equities showed negative signs under the lead of hot favourite amid decrease in index. ISE Ten Index showed a decrease of 20.53 points, as the Index moved from 1,683.03 to 1,662.50 points.

Rs620bln development budget proposed

ISLAMABAD: The total development budget of the country for next fiscal year has been recommended Rs620 billion to the National Economic Council, which includes Rs190 billion to develop Chashma –III and Chashma –IV nuclear energy plants.

The recommendations have been forwarded by the Annual Plans Coordination committee (APCC) on Tuesday for the NEC, scheduled to be held in Islamabad on June 4, the NEC would be chaired by the prime minister.

The APCC has recommended Rs262 billion for federal ministries in the Public Sector Development Program (PSDP) for 2009-10, the recommendations includes Rs38 billion for special areas including AJK, FATA and northern areas, Rs35 billion have been recommended for special programs and Rs60 billion have been recommended for corporations.

The APCC has recommended Rs200 billion for the development budget of provinces, and Rs25 billion for the earthquake reconstruction.

The APCC papers for the NEC said that the broad sectoral distribution of federal PSDP includes Rs195 billion for infrastructure, Rs164 billion for social sector, Rs18 billion for agriculture, industries, minerals, Rs12 billion for science and technology and Rs6 billion for environment.

APCC has proposed that Rs190 billion for the development of nuclear plants C-3 and C-4 to generate 600 megawatt electricity by 2016.

Another important aspect of the proposals is that the allocations for health sector has been suggested to be raised by 82 per cent to Rs26 billion in the fiscal 2009-10.

Major programs in the federal health sector includes Rs6 billion for EPI, Rs3 billion for mother and child health, Rs7 billon for primary health care.

While the allocations for education and training has been increased by 60 per cent to Rs32 billion for the next fiscal year.

The paper said that water sector allocations has been proposed at Rs58 billion, that accounts to almost 14 per cent of the total federal program. It said that 32 small and medium dams, eight in each province are being financed in the next fiscal year.

Rs12 billion have been proposed to complete the Mangla dam raising project, as a result 2.88 million acre feet additional water could be stored in the dam in next monsoon season.

Rs139 billion have been proposed for energy sector including electricity generation and conservation projects.

Transportation and communication sector has been allocated Rs70 billion in the APCC proposals and Rs12 billion for improvement of railways.

To save the agriculture produce modern grain storage facilities are proposed at Rs27 billion and Rs3.5 billion has been proposed for public private partnership in the field of dairy development.

For the continuation of housing program for poor and government officials that was initiated in the current fiscal year, the APCC has proposed RS1 billion to continue the project.

The APCC in its proposals to the NEC has said that Thar coal infrastructure will be developed in the next fiscal and the World Bank has pledged grant assistance for preparation of the project.

‘The government of Sindh is allowed to negotiate loans with the world bank,’ the paper said.

The recommendations for the NEC said that to sharpen the skills of labour force ‘Hunarmand Pakistan Programme’ would be launched to improve skills of the labour which will create demand for Pakistani workforce abroad also.

Pakistan had requested the IMF to increase the fiscal deficit limit from 3.4 per cent to 4.6 per cent to accommodate the additional amount of around Rs160 billion in the development budget for the next fiscal.

Deputy chairman planning commission Sardar Aseff Ahmed Ali said that increased allocations for development budget would help the government fight poverty.

‘This would be a support the government to fight terrorism reducing joblessness,’ he said. The National Economic Council is expected to consider enhance the powers of Central Development Working Party (CDWP) for sanctioning development schemes.

The CDWP, currently, is authorised to sanction projects up to Rs 500 million for the federal government and projects exceeding this limit are submitted for approval to the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (ECNEC).

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Tax-worries whack stocks

Volumes thin to 2-week low
KARACHI: Share prices continued to slide on second day of the week pushing the benchmark index lower by more than 1 per cent on Tuesday with volumes reduced to near two-week low, mainly due to what dealers said were pre-budget tax worries and the absence of leverage product. The benchmark KSE 100-Index fell by 85 points or 1.18 per cent to close at 7,125 points.
"Absence of ready board leverage the only reason for the ongoing price erosion/inflation, further delay in accepting the fact will continue to harm the local bourses," said Hasnain Asghar Ali, Head of Sales Aziz Fidahusein & Co.
Hasnain added that despite confirmation by FBR and finance authorities that no new taxes will be imposed on the share business in the upcoming budget, positive developments on Swat operation, expectations of early & successful completion of the operation, a comprehensive plan outlined by the PM to increase textile exports increased expectations of likely incentive to the textile manufacturers in the upcoming budget, rallying oil prices and participation by foreign players at the local bourses, the local equity market continued to give a deserted look, thus negating the views that the mentioned issues are the main reasons for lacklustre, and the local bourses continue to stay indifferent from the positive developments.
After a flat beginning, market showed some mix performance during the first hour of the session where at a moment it touched an intra-day high of 7,230 points (+ve 19 points), thereafter it finally went down into the bearish region mainly due to the selling pressure on fears of taxation on the capital market in the upcoming budget. Therefore the losses were multiplied and at about 1:48 pm it touched its lower level of the day of 7,087 points (-ve 123 points) however some support at lower levels allowed the index to close above 7,100 levels.
Foreigners too were on the selling side as according to the NCCPL figures, there was a net foreign selling of $2.1 million during the day.
KSE 30-Index dropped 104 points - 1.34 per cent to close at 7,671 points and KSE all-share index lost 59 points - 1.15 per cent to close at 5,110 points.
Volumes shrank further to 83 million shares - -down more than 29 million shares as compared with 113 million shares traded a day earlier. Out of total 308 active issues, 211 declined and 84 advanced while 13 issues remained unchanged.
Analysts said the market may show some range bound activities before the federal budget but they also add that news regarding taxation on the capital market would certainly have a negative impact on the market. They also urge for an early introduction of new leverage product in the market.

Stock brokers demand ‘leverage’ product

KARACHI: In an informal meeting of members of the Karachi Stock Exchange on Monday afternoon, a strong 60 broker-member fraternity who participated out of the 200 members on roll, demanded a leverage product. ‘Leverage product’ in simple language would mean a product that could allow investors to purchase shares on borrowed money.

Sitting on the dais were half a dozen big brokers. The noisy proceedings started at the Trading hall but the venue was soon shifted to the KSE auditorium, away from the media glare.

A senior member present at the meeting said that the brokers stood united on the one basic point, that the market was in dire need of a leverage product—the void had been created following the scrapping of the ‘badla’ or CFS earlier in the year, without first replacing it with another acceptable-workable product.

‘Basically, the meeting deliberated on three points’, said a member present at the meeting. The first, of course, was the leverage product. It was resolved that a Committee of members be formed within 15 days to work with the trading affairs Committee of the KSE and discuss and deliberate on the leverage product; send the recommendations to the Consultative group formed by the SECP for onward submission to the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan.

Interestingly, both groups of brokers known to be in favour of the earlier dumped ‘badla’ and against it, participated in the meeting. ‘While there was consensus on the need for a leverage product, there were heated arguments on its features and modalities’, said a meeting participant. Vocal members expressed diverse views on whether to adopt an ‘internationally accepted model’ or devise a home-grown product.

The worry over the absence of a leverage product dawned on the brokers, following the fall in daily trading volumes, which could scarcely climb up to 100 million shares, from 250 million shares earlier this year. ‘Declining volume means a hit on brokers’ commission’, said a floor trader, whose own income was also drying up with drop in business.

Next, the meeting considered establishing of an association of stock brokers. For that purpose, it was proposed that a Committee be formed (the same as would work on leverage) which should look into the legal aspects and conduct the work of registration and preparation of memorandum and articles of association.

The meeting was also said to have discussed less fiery issues of reaching out to the Government on confirming the status of tax on stocks in the upcoming June 13 federal budget, given the conflicting reports emanating from various sources.

FOREIGN INVESTORS: The foreign investors kept up the recent momentum of buying, with net purchase of shares at the KSE of the value of US$5 million on Monday. Overseas investors made portfolio buy of a huge $13.12 million and sold stocks worth $8.10 million. Analysts counted several reasons for the rejuvenation of foreign investors’ interest.

Attractive fundamentals of the Pakistani equities were believed to be on top.

Moreover, a fund manager said that with the rise in price of crude, foreigners were investing in good measure in the E&P stocks. He candidly pointed out that the foreign investors were not returning only to the KSE, but were entering most other markets in the region that offered good value for money.

Budget size expected to reach Rs2.9 trillion

ISLAMABAD: The size of the budget for 2009-10 is likely to be increased by Rs210 billion to Rs2,900 billion.

Sources said here on Monday the increase was likely to ‘provide a slight cushion’ to the government to carry out development projects and offer relief to the poor.

A finance ministry team, headed by Finance Secretary Salman Siddique, briefed the National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Finance headed by Fouzia Wahab on salient features of the budget on Monday.

The delay in reimbursement of funds for the war on terror by the United States may increase the budget deficit.

The size of the Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP) this year is likely to be about Rs670 billion, allowing the government to launch new projects, particularly for poverty alleviation.

The sources said that the government was likely to announce a 20 per cent increase in salary and pension of government employees. Finance ministry officials are reported to have told the committee that Rs54 billion would be allocated for displaced people, Rs7 billion for Baitul Maal and Rs70 billion for the Benazir Income Support Programme, ‘targeting the poor of the poorest’. ‘The budget deficit is likely to increase from 4.3 per cent this year to 5 per cent next year,’ the secretary finance said while briefing parliamentarians on salient features of the next budget.

He said that the increase in deficit would result in an additional borrowing of Rs750 billion, increasing the debt liability of the government.

Analysts here said the increase in the budget deficit would erode gains achieved during the current fiscal year and take the economy back to the dismal days of the 90s.

A finance ministry official told Dawn that 40 per cent of the money pledged at the Tokyo donors’ conference would be used for financing the deficit.

However, a range of new tax measures have been proposed and several non-taxed sectors would be brought under tax net.

The government is planning to set a revenue target of Rs2.27 trillion against the current year’s Rs1.97 trillion. Tax revenues are projected at Rs1.71 trillion and non-tax revenue at Rs560 billion.

Monday, June 1, 2009

Share slide on tax fears

Renewed worries clip 1pc off KSE; volumes less by 76mn shares.

KARACHI: Share prices at Karachi stock market slumped by nearly 1 per cent on Monday, as renewed fears over taxation issues clipped the gains made in earlier trade.
The benchmark KSE 100-Index dropped 66 points - 0.91 per cent to close at 7,210 points.
"Selling activity witnessed as uncertainty loomed over taxation on capital market and brokerage services," said Ahsan Mehanti, CEO Shehzad Chamdia Securities. He added that investors remained on sidelines as various rumors regarding imposition of GST on brokerage services, CVT raise on capital markets affected market sentiment negatively.
KSE 30-Index fell by 86 points, 1.1 per cent to close at 7,776 points and KSE all-share index lost 46 points, 0.89 per cent to close at 5,170 points.
Trading started marginally positive (16 points plus), following which it showed mild volatility giving number of visits to the both territories. 100-Index marked an intraday high of 7,326 points (+ve 50 points) in early trade, amid reports of select buying by foreign investors. However some pressure was witnessed around midday mainly due to pre-budget worries over taxation. The index finally close a just a bit higher from its day low of 7,195 points (-ve 81 points). Dealers say foreign investors availed this opportunity, as despite a negative closing, there was net buying of $5 million by the foreign investors during the day, as according to NCCPL data.
Volumes saw a significant decline, as nearly 113 million shares were traded during the day - down 76 million from a turnover of around 189 million shares on Friday.
Bears took a major lead over bulls as out of total 307 active issues, 205 declined and 90 advanced while 12 issues remained unchanged.

Stocks & Bonds-June 02, 2009

KSE loses 66 points.

KARACHI (June 02, 2009): Karachi share market opened on a positive note and the benchmark KSE-100 index hit 7,326.85 points intra-day high level, up by 50.24 points on Monday. However, the upward trend could not continue due to investors' lack of confidence and the index dropped into the negative zone to reach 7,195.38 points intra-day low level, down by 81.23 points.

LSE index loses 15.28 points.

LAHORE (June 02, 2009): The Lahore stocks remained under the grip of depressed sentiments on Monday on account of rumours about the imposition of more taxes on stocks trading that also kept the investors away from the buying course resulting in low trading activity. The LSE-25 index lost 15.28 points and ended at 2145.32 against 2160.60 of the last Friday while transaction volume also restricted to 11.932 million shares as compared to previous volume of 16.872 million shares.



BRIndex30 drops 106.60 points.

KARACHI (June 02, 2009): On Monday, the BRIndex30 opened in the positive zone, at 6,821.09, but soon dropped into negative zone and, after fluctuating up and down for the first two hours, it went into negative zone and remained there for whole of the trading time, ultimately closing at 6,707.00 points with a net negative change of -106.60 points and percentage change of -1.56.


Protection of rights: association of KSE members formed.

KARACHI (June 02, 2009): The Association of Karachi Stock Exchange Members has been formed in a special meeting of KSE members to protect members' rights. An extraordinary meeting of KSE members was held here on Monday in which they also formed a five-member committee to pursue for the launching of alternative leverage product after CFS Mk-II, which has been discontinued from April 8, 2009.



'SECP taking lenient view of defaults not covered under CRS'.

ISLAMABAD (June 02, 2009): The Companies Regularisation Scheme (CRS) of the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) is not applicable to companies which have filed their overdue returns before May 15, 2009, the scheme's launch effective date. The amnesty scheme has been launched for a period of 45 days starting from May 15, 2009 up to June 30, 2009.

Sunday, May 31, 2009

BULLS RULE KSE - Weekly Report

Volumes improved as 756 million shares exchanged hands in the overall market during the week
KARACHI: Karachi stock market went through a bullish week as its main index ended near 2 per cent up mainly on decline in PIB yields, SC decision on Sharif brothers and rising international oil prices however deteriorating law and order situation remained a concern for the market participants.
The benchmark KSE 100-Index rose by 130 points or 1.82 per cent to end at a level of 7,276 points.
"Buying activity witnessed as PIB yields fall by 61 basis points in 10 years, tenor indicating falling interest rate trend. Bullish activity remained in oil sector as international oil prices cross 63 USD" said Ahsan Mehanti, CEO Shehzad Chamdia Securities.
Ahsan added that expectations of record PSDP allocation of over Rs 600 billion in Federal Budget 2009-10 invited investment in cement sector.
Sharif brothers eligibility for elections, gains in international equity markets & rise in oil prices played a catalyst role for positive activity in the market.
Moreover, investors remained positive on oil marketing companies due to limited fall of local petroleum prices. Gas line deals with Iran taken positive for gas marketing companies.
Week started with a minor gain of 27 points on Monday as investors took position at attractive levels but the participation of investors was limited due to strike call in the city, index moved in a limited range where at a moment during intra-day trading it touched its lowest level of the week of 7,125 points. Mixed activities stayed during the next two days also, where index closed 3 and 12 points up respectively on Tuesday and Wednesday.
On Tuesday there was uncertainty on the Supreme Court's decision regarding Sharif brother's eligibility but on the next day market saw some positive activities during intra-day trading on SC decision but market witnessed pressure due to Lahore incident.
Decline in PIB yields played a catalyst role for the bullish activity in the market on Thursday where the index gained 99 points, hopes of early end of the military action was also a factor for the bullish move.
Market continued to show positive activities on Friday where during intra-day trading it touched its highest level of the week of 7,368 points but as it was the last trading day of the week investors preferred to book profits at higher levels and market ended with a minor loss of 11 points below 7,300 levels.
Despite some positive activities in the market, there was net selling by the foreign investors as according to the figures released by NCCPL there was net foreign selling of around $4.15 million during the week.
Volumes too were improved as 756 million shares exchanged hands in the overall market during the week which is 177 million shares more as compared to a turnover of 579 million shares a week earlier.
Out of total 383 active issues, 215 ended positive and 145 negative while 23 issues remained unchanged.

Business Updates

KSE directed to establish unified trading platform.

ISLAMABAD (June 01, 2009): The Competition Commission of Pakistan (CCP) has directed Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) to establish a Singular Unified Trading Platform for the central execution of the trading orders of all the stock exchanges within six months period.

Big investment potential in banking sector: Governor SBP

Governor of State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), Syed Salim Raza, has said that Pakistan’s banking system has great potential for further investment. He was speaking at a ceremony held here for the launching of Silkbank Limited, formerly Saudi Pak Commercial Bank Limited, says a SBP statement. Raza said the performance of country’s financial sector, which is largely dominated by banks, has been outstanding throughout the current economic situation. He stated that the banking sector has over the years nurtured itself in a way that it is able to withstand some of the shocks it has faced in the last 18 months or so. “The banking system is on strong footing and has long term potential, a feature which has served to attract a substantial amount of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the sector, with established global financial institutions now active participants in the domestic financial sector,” the Governor SBP said.

Small investors should stick to mutual funds: NIT

This was stated by the National Investment Trust chairman, Tariq Iqbal Khan, while briefing reporters on the capital market and the role of mutual funds in its development.

He said that the fundamentals of economy had improved, but the capital market was overly-depressed due to political and law and order situation.

He pointed out that mutual funds and bonds market were more favoured instruments of investment in developed economies.

For example, he said, against bank deposits of $66.9 billion in Pakistan, the net assets managed by mutual funds were equivalent to $2.75 billion, which was only 4.4 per cent of the bank deposits.

India had bank deposits of $751.8 billion and the net assets under the management of mutual funds were to the tune of $77.5 billion or 10.3 per cent of the bank deposits.

The US had bank deposits of $7363.7 billion while net assets managed by the mutual funds were $9248.9 per cent or equivalent to 125.6 per cent of its bank deposits.

He said out of 107 mutual funds operating in Pakistan 86 were open-end mutual funds and 21 were closed-end mutual funds. Seven pension funds were among the open-end mutual funds.

Currently, he said, the capital market of Pakistan had capitalisation of $25.7 billion against $602.4 billion in India and $13,886 billion in the US. Net assets of mutual funds in Pakistan’s capital market were to the tune of $2.75 billion equivalent to 10.7 per cent of the market capitalisation, he added.

Against this, the net asset value of Indian capital market was $77.5 billion equivalent to $12.9 billion of the market capitalisation.

The net assets of the US capital market were $9248.9 billion which was 66.6 per cent of market capitalisation.

He dispelled the general perception that some institutions, including the NIT, intervened in the in the falling capital market on the instructions of the government to give it a boost. He said the institutions act independently and take investment or selling decisions in the larger interest of investors.

He said this was the reason that the NIT had constantly been outperforming average growth at the Karachi Stock Market.

He said in depressed times the NIT losses were always lower than the general decline in the capital market.

He said institutions did intervene in the capital market to stabilise it in the larger interest of investors.

He said almost all mutual funds operating in Pakistan were being run by highly qualified professionals.

He said that the NIT had about 38 per cent share of the total open-end funds of Pakistan and 80 per cent of the open-end equity funds. The trust, he said, had investment in around 450, out of total 651 companies listed on KSE.

Value of NIT’s fund invested in the market at current price levels was around Rs72 billion. He said that the NIT was the single largest institutional investor in the KSE. Presently, he said that the NIT had over 55,000 unit holders, who collectively hold 1.9 billion NIT units.

Only the cash-rich may play stocks!

The total number of investor account in the Central Depository Company (CDC) currently stands at 0.05 million while those in the sub-accounts aggregate 0.25 million. In a population of 170 million, it would be one in a thousand that dabble in stocks. Fruitless to compare that with one in four persons that visit the Dalal Street in Mumbai or every second American who invests his money and future in stocks.

Markets all through the world were in melting pot in the year 2008, but there are indications of recovery. The KSE, which plunged by a historic 60 per cent during the year, the 100-share index tumbling from 15,760 to 4,800, pushed hundreds of middle class households to the brink of poverty. The injured were spared the agony of waiting for Probe reports as most people agreed that the greatest sufferers were those who bought stocks on borrowed money.

That brought on to surface the simmering revolt against the ‘badla,’ named as CFS and further glamourised into CFS Mk-II by the previous SECP chairman. Haji Ghani Haji Usman, who was one of the two major brokers who spearheaded the successful movement by more than 100 brokers to the end to ‘badla’ is aghast at the regulators’ dilly dallying on replacing the outgoing leverage product with another one with better features.

He says that a consultative committee was set up to review and release a new derivative product in the market, but after four meetings and a passage of two weeks, the public is at a loss to know, how far the progress has been made.

‘The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan must ask the committee to come up with the alternative leverage product within 10 days,’ he says.

The consultative committee of 10 members has received much flak for what most believe to be its slow progress. But Aftab Diwan, who heads the committee, says that its consultations with the SECP on a new leverage product was only a part of the job. ‘The consultative group has been assigned the task of looking at all aspects of the capital market, including risk management and to discuss them with the SECP,’ says Mr Diwan. ‘Discovering a new leverage product is primarily the job of the stock exchanges,’ he says in defence.

SECP chairman Salman A Shaikh could not be reached, but spokesman for the apex regulator shifted the responsibility on the committee.

‘We are waiting for recommendations of the committee,’ said Imran Ghaznavi and added that the SECP would look into the features of the new product when one is placed on the table.

No one at the stock exchange, among the committee members or at the SECP would commit on a firm date for the launch of a new product.

Mr Diwan explained that all stakeholders were being consulted, including the Mutual Fund Association of Pakistan; the Association of Insurance Companies; Modarabas; financial institutions and the bourses. He said that reaching consensus would obviously take a little while.

The market pundits call the matter of new leverage product a ‘grey area.’ There was, however, a general agreement on finding a derivative product that stands up to ‘International best practices.’ But why was a quick introduction of the new leverage product of such paramount importance?

A small investor who had lost all of cash, house and a shop in the stock debacle of 2008, expressed his grievance.

‘During the bloodbath, CFS or ‘badla’ was believed to have caused the greatest amount of hurt,’ he said. That leverage product was scrapped, but small investors who would still like to trade with the hope of recovering of some of their losses, had been deprived of a new derivative product.

‘From the depth of 4,800, the KSE-100 index has clawed up 15 per cent or by around 2,400 points,’ he says. But because of the absence of leverage, only the deep pocket investors, who can take delivery on cash, are able to reap the riches. There is lot of heart burning among leverage players, who stand aside, cast out as the ugly ducklings. But some believe that as volume of trade keeps evaporating to 100 million shares a day from an average of 250 million in the first quarter of last year, the impact might be more widely felt.

Some prophets of doom even suggest cornering of scrips by ‘broker cartels,’ followed by lower locks and the fall of the market into another crisis.